The dollar price closed the session at S/3.384, registering a drop of 0.27% compared to the previous close. The movement was influenced by the retreat of the dollar index (DXY), which fell for the second consecutive session and returned to around 100.0 points.
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According to Jorge Luis Huayta, FX trader at Kambista, GDP slowed to 1.8% in May, compared to 3.73% the previous month. “The El Niño Phenomenon caused a 73.1% collapse in the fishing sector, which in turn dragged down manufacturing (-10.7%),” he said.
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He added that the unemployment rate fell to 4.9% in the last quarter to June, representing the exit of 68,500 people from unemployment. Likewise, he indicated that the Central Reserve Bank (BCR) intervened through purchase swap auctions to absorb the excess supply in the market, in addition to making purchases of US$184 million in the spot market.
On the international front, Huayta noted that the Fed chairman, Kevin Warsh, stated that the Federal Reserve will not hesitate to raise interest rates again if pressures on core inflation persist. He also indicated that geopolitical tensions regained prominence after Donald Trump promised to increase offensives on Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, while WTI (USOIL) trades at US$79.07 (-0.64%).
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The specialist added that, at the close of the session, the exchange rate returned to the lowest levels of the last three weeks, maintaining a selling range between S/3.395 and S/3.398.
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On the other hand, Allisson Pérez, currency trader at Renta4 SAB, explained that during the day the supply came from corporates, while the demand was due to BCR intervention that let S/75 million of Currency Swap Sales expire and bought US$184 million at an average price of S/3.3844. In that sense, the exchange rate operated in the range of S/3.3800 to S/3.3890, with a traded volume of US$487 million at an average price of S/3.3849.
Likewise, the dollar experienced a widespread retreat against major currencies due to a more moderate-than-expected consumer inflation data in the U.S., which momentarily reduced pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. Despite this drop, the dollar maintains solid medium-term support thanks to restrictive warnings from Fed officials and its status as a safe haven amid geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East.
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