Iran would be considering attacks against targets in Europe if Donald Trump escalates the war. For analyst Andrés Gómez de la Torre, Tehran seeks to keep open the possibility of extending the conflict as a tool of pressure and deterrence: “all options are on the table”
The United States has opened a corridor in the Strait of Hormuz that allows millions of barrels of oil to be exported despite Iranian attacks. For analysts consulted by El Comercio, the threat from Iran persists and the real challenge will be to determine whether the economic benefits outweigh the cost of sustaining the complex operation
Trump’s threat against Oman reveals, according to analyst Carlos Novoa, his frustration over the stalemate in negotiations with Iran and the loss of control over the Strait of Hormuz, a situation he considers a sign of “desperation”
“The negotiations never got underway because the United States just a few weeks after signing the memorandum of understanding committed flagrant and widespread violations of its text, said the spokesperson of the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ismail Bagaei
Iran is adapting its war strategy to compensate for some of its weakened traditional surveillance systems. The downing of the F-15E shows this evolution, which analyst Andrés Gómez de la Torre summarizes as follows: “It is shifting from air defense based on large radars to a networked war of small sensors and swarms of drones.”
Netanyahu’s rejection of Trump’s 15-point plan casts doubt on the future of the proposal for Gaza and opens a front of tension between the two allies. For international analyst Carlos Novoa, “it was very difficult to think, or very naive, that Israel was going to accept this plan.”
Hamás’s acceptance of a roadmap for its disarmament opens an unprecedented opportunity to move towards ending the war in Gaza, but the agreement faces deep differences between the parties. For international analyst Carlos Novoa, “the key to the agreement is held by Israel,” because Hamás will only advance if Israeli troops completely leave the enclave
The terrorist group Hamas assured this Monday that it is waiting for “clear and official” information from the Peace Board and the mediating countries about the disarmament agreement, as well as reiterating its commitment to the points that had already been agreed upon in the ceasefire pact.
Hamas confirmed an agreement for its disarmament, but demanded that Israel withdraw from Gaza and respect the pact. Mediators are finalizing the details in Cairo.
Israel captured Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the man who for years was one of its greatest enemies, as a possible next leader of Iran. According to specialist Andrés Gómez de la Torre, in espionage there are no permanent allies or adversaries, only strategic objectives.