“Americans must have understood that the era of proportional responses is over,” declared Mohamad Baqer Qalibaf, the chief Iranian negotiator,
Iran would be considering attacks against targets in Europe if Donald Trump escalates the war. For analyst Andrés Gómez de la Torre, Tehran seeks to keep open the possibility of extending the conflict as a tool of pressure and deterrence: “all options are on the table”
The United States has opened a corridor in the Strait of Hormuz that allows millions of barrels of oil to be exported despite Iranian attacks. For analysts consulted by El Comercio, the threat from Iran persists and the real challenge will be to determine whether the economic benefits outweigh the cost of sustaining the complex operation
Trump’s threat against Oman reveals, according to analyst Carlos Novoa, his frustration over the stalemate in negotiations with Iran and the loss of control over the Strait of Hormuz, a situation he considers a sign of “desperation”
More than 250 days at sea have tested the crew of the USS Abraham Lincoln, in a deployment marked by supply, maintenance, and mental health issues. For analyst Andrés Gómez, the wear and tear is also linked to a mission whose objectives have been changing during the war with Iran, an uncertainty that “generates stress”
“The negotiations never got underway because the United States just a few weeks after signing the memorandum of understanding committed flagrant and widespread violations of its text, said the spokesperson of the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ismail Bagaei
Iran is adapting its war strategy to compensate for some of its weakened traditional surveillance systems. The downing of the F-15E shows this evolution, which analyst Andrés Gómez de la Torre summarizes as follows: “It is shifting from air defense based on large radars to a networked war of small sensors and swarms of drones.”
An alert from Israel about an Iranian plan to attack Air Force One led to a secret operation to switch Donald Trump’s plane in Turkey, but it put those who remained on board at risk. “What remains to be known is to what extent that information was reliable or exaggerated,” warns analyst Francisco Belaunde
Donald Trump hid in a food container to secretly change planes after a threat from Iran while he was in Turkey. For analyst Francesco Tucci, the episode makes it clear that “Trump’s entourage and the Secret Service take the Iranian threat seriously”
The United States seeks to accelerate weapons production amid the reduction of its Patriot and THAAD interceptor reserves due to the war with Iran. Analyst Andrés Gómez de la Torre warns that the problem may worsen if the conflict is prolonged: “In prolonged wars, the logistics problem becomes a fundamental issue”